The Home GOP musical chairs that might maintain Stefanik as No. 3

Rep. Virginia Foxx is combating to maintain her high GOP spot on the Training and Labor Committee within the subsequent Congress — a transfer with potential main penalties for the Home Republican management lineup.

Foxx (R-N.C.) has privately lobbied get together leaders for a waiver to maintain her seniority on the panel come 2023, in line with a number of GOP sources aware of the matter. She has additionally privately met with Training and Labor members to tell them of her intention to run once more and guarantee they’re on board if management decides to grant her a particular cross from convention time period restrict guidelines, two members on the panel instructed POLITICO. That maneuvering raises questions concerning the future position of Rep. Elise Stefanik (N.Y.), a rising power within the Home GOP who privately pledged earlier this yr to restrict her time as convention chair to 1 time period.

Stefanik made her vow whereas hustling to win over ultra-conservatives reluctant about handing her the No. 3 management spot Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) was about to be booted from, given some extra centrist components of her report. The New Yorker instructed colleagues that the position she actually desired was main the Training and Labor Committee — the identical job Foxx now might need to maintain on to. The prospect of the 2 girls jostling for senior roles follows a 2020 election cycle with high-profile good points for Home GOP girls, bolstering the case for Stefanik’s elevation to management after Cheney was ejected from the convention’s messaging position after vocal criticism of former President Donald Trump.

The trail to holding two high Republican girls of their present posts might be easy: Foxx has instructed colleagues that Stefanik is assuring her of assist for her serving one other time period because the committee’s high GOP member, in line with a number of individuals aware of the dynamics. Whereas many within the get together have been skeptical that Stefanik would maintain her pledge to start with — it’s frequent for members of each events to buck their term-limit guarantees as soon as in workplace or in one other desired Hill position — Foxx’s early bid is elevating questions amongst Home Republicans concerning the management shuffle that might outcome in the event that they declare the bulk subsequent yr.

“Most members are underneath the idea Elise isn’t working once more” for the convention chairmanship, mentioned one of many two Training and Labor Republicans, talking candidly on situation of anonymity. However this member then warned: “As you understand, most politicians by no means adhere to time period restrict pledges.”

Then once more, Home Minority Chief Kevin McCarthy could be opening up a can of worms if he gave Foxx a waiver to remain on the committee, letting himself get inundated by different Republicans searching for permission to maintain their highly effective committee perches. That’s why some Republicans signaled they aren’t taking Foxx’s hunt for a waiver as prone to repay.

Stefanik declined to debate her future path when requested earlier than the Thanksgiving recess, saying she was centered on the then-upcoming vote on Democrats’ social spending plan. And Foxx declined to touch upon discussions with management for a waiver. Her workplace declined to remark when requested about Foxx telling different members that Stefanik received’t problem her for the get together’s high spot on Training and Labor.

When requested if Stefanik is supporting Foxx’s bid, Stefanik spokesperson Ali Black broadly mentioned the New Yorker is targeted on profitable again the bulk and “doing the most effective on the job she has right this moment — not subsequent session.”

McCarthy spokesperson Mark Bednar didn’t weigh in on Foxx’s bid for a waiver. However in an announcement, Bednar famous that the GOP steering members, who oversee assigning committee spots together with panel management roles, “haven’t even been elected for subsequent Congress.” The Steering Committee can be closely stacked with management allies.

A number of Republican members imagine Stefanik might select to pursue a brand new time period as convention chair in a future Republican majority or leap into one other management race. Some colleagues imagine she is focused on getting into a extra crowded race for majority whip in 2023.

There’s an extended record of contenders for that vote-counting place, if the GOP can capitalize on its midterm benefits because of historic developments and redistricting — and if McCarthy follows that win by ascending to speaker, which is probably going however not absolutely assured.

A McCarthy speakership would put present Minority Whip Steve Scalise on observe to maneuver as much as Home majority chief. Potential contenders to ascend to whip in that occasion embrace a number of in present senior or management roles, together with Reps. Patrick McHenry (R-N.C.), Drew Ferguson (R-Ga.), Mike Johnson (R-La.), Rep. Jim Banks (R-Ind.), and Richard Hudson (R-N.C.).

Stefanik was voted into the No. 3 management spot in Might, after Home Republicans determined it was untenable for Cheney to proceed serving as chief of GOP messaging whereas taking pictures at Trump over Jan. 6 and at others she’s mentioned aren’t doing sufficient to face as much as Trump, together with McCarthy.

The breaking level between McCarthy and Cheney got here in the course of the Home GOP retreat in Florida earlier this yr. Their rift went public as McCarthy took pictures at his then-lieutenant, in an interview with POLITICO and later to a room stuffed with reporters. Discussions about discovering a alternative for Cheney started after that retreat, with Stefanik rising as an early favourite of McCarthy’s.

The GOP chief and different Stefanik allies started an aggressive whipping marketing campaign to steer members to again her as a alternative to Cheney, who wasn’t attempting to struggle the second and in the end profitable ouster effort. Along with Stefanik’s one-term pledge, the 37-year-old additionally vowed to facet with management on votes the place the convention endorses a place — reassurances that adopted Cheney’s varied votes that defied the stance of get together management.

On the time, Home Republicans have been extremely aware of the necessity to exchange Cheney with a girl, thus holding their management slate from turning into all-male. Earlier than Stefanik ascended, Foxx was tapped to introduce the decision to oust Cheney.

If Foxx and Stefanik in the end keep put of their present roles, many Republicans imagine McCarthy can be happy to see the latter girl stay in management. Stefanik, a average turned avid Trump defender throughout his first impeachment, has stayed on-message for the convention and at occasions even raised eyebrows amongst her extra institution colleagues for showing to maneuver proper of the get together’s heart of gravity.

However utilizing the waiver course of to lock Foxx in her put up would problem a long-standing convention observe. Home GOP guidelines restrict members to 6 consecutive years serving in a high committee position, no matter whether or not the get together is within the minority or majority. The uncommon exceptions to that rule embrace former Rep. Paul Ryan’s (R-Wis.) waiver to remain atop the Home Funds Committee in 2012, shortly after his vice-presidential bid ended unsuccessfully.

Whereas some members of Training and Labor declined focus on their non-public conversations with Foxx, some on the panel have been fast to supply notable statements of assist for her.

“I like my rating member,” mentioned Rep. Madison Cawthorn (R-N.C.), Foxx’s delegation-mate. “And [I] would like to serve together with her as chairwoman.”